betting markets are now, wow

[m_d_h]

2/3 for Trump, 1/3 for Biden -- wow -- but that's leaping ahead of the returns -- we cannot extrapolate a Trump win from the votes that have been reported thus far, the betting markets have had a Trump bias all along.  Florida state polling error was pro-Trump, doesn't mean every poll everywhere had the same directional error.  Florida was within the margin of error.  That's different from Wisconsin & Michigan & Pennsylvania going for Trump.

But we're not going to know the answer tonight.  Go to bed.