m_d_h: (Default)
 some people would rather kill babies than vote for Harris
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President Biden made a pledge to cut US CO2 emissions by 50% at the end of this decade, as compared to 2005.  It's a strange pledge in many ways.  First, it is currently 2021, why does this pledge go back 16 years to 2005 for its reference point?  The pledge isn't to cut 50% from today's levels, but from the year when US CO2 emissions peaked.  As of 2019 the US has already cut energy-related CO2 emissions by about 15% since 2005, mainly by switching from coal to natural gas, so this pledge is a way of double counting the emissions we've already cut.

So the pledge is really to cut current (latest official figures from 2019) emissions by about 42%.  Doesn't sound quite as fancy as 50%, but politicians do like to exaggerate.

More to the point -- Biden doesn't have the power to unilaterally cut US emissions by 42% by 2030.  He's not a dictator.  His pledge does not have the force of law, he'll need Congress to do something.  So how the fuck is he going to accomplish this goal?

According to his speech:

(1) Laying thousands of miles of new electric transmission cables

(2) Building electric cars and electric charging stations

(3) Carbon capture

(4) New hydrogen power plants (?!?)

(5) Farmers doing something vague that is cutting edge somehow with respect to soil

OK, good luck with this plan.

Really, I did expect something more logical and specific when I started reading his speech.

Oh, the White House also released a FACT SHEET elaborating ... I mean, I hoped it would elaborate, but it doesn't actually contain any facts or additional details.  There's no numbers in it, usually facts are related to numbers?  It's entirely free of math.  Sigh.

-----

Why do we need thousands of miles of new electricity transmission cables, and if we need them, why aren't our regional public utilities already building them?  We currently have 7,000,000 miles of electricity transmission cables between power plants and customers.  Supposedly these cables and their systems can be upgraded to be more "smart" so that less electricity is wasted between power plant and customer.  OK, go for it.  Be smarter.  But can anybody give me some numbers?  And if this is truly a matter of efficiency, it should already be paying for itself, utilities should already be doing it without Biden kicking them in the pants or providing federal funding.  I'm sure they already are doing it.

Electric cars are an expensive, slow, and selfish way to cut CO2 emissions.  Manufacturing a new electric car and its battery creates a lot of CO2 emissions up front, more than building a gasoline car, and then you only save on CO2 emissions over time if you drive the fuck out of that electric car, as compared to driving the fuck out of a gasoline car.  The best way to cut CO2 emissions with respect to personal transportation is to (1) not buy a new car at all, and (2) take mass transit or carpool instead.  A massive program to build new electric cars will actually increase CO2 emissions over the next nine years, though it may reduce them later on as compared to a massive program to build new gasoline cars, assuming we were all going to drive the fuck out of those gasoline cars anyway.  Sigh.

Carbon capture?  This involves storing burnt CO2 gases underground.  This doesn't scale up.  And it would be horribly inefficient, which would require burning even more fossil fuels than before (which is why the fossil fuel industry likes this idea).  If you hear a Republican talking about "clean coal" this is what she meant, burying the exhaust fumes underground somehow.  And then hoping those buried fumes stay buried FOREVER.

Hydrogen power plants!?!  Where is this hydrogen coming from?  There's no such thing as a hydrogen mine, you have to create the hydrogen, which requires enormous energy inputs, more energy inputs than you'll get back from burning the hydrogen later in your power plant.  This is a net energy waste.  WTF.  Please don't do this!  I'm genuinely shocked that this is part of the plan.

Farmers doing vaguely cutting edge things with their soil -- seriously didn't think soil was a major emitter of CO2.  Does anybody have details on this?

-----

I can also promise to cut my own CO2 emissions by 50% compared to the year of my peak emissions while pointing to stuff that may or may not help while avoiding doing any math.  Please adore me.

Also, BTW, I've conveniently picked an end date for my goal that is beyond the last day of my second term in office, assuming I even get a second term in office, which means I am 100% unaccountable for my goal.  I cannot possibly meet it, or not meet it, because I will have retired by then.  Please adore me anyway.
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Did not realize the Democratic Socialists of America is officially against statehood for Puerto Rico and the other overseas territories of the US, including the already-a-state Hawaii. (But they're OK with Alaska as a state for some reason? because it can be reached via land?  Or am I being nitpicky.)

Instead they favor decolonization, aka full sovereignty, aka independence.  If the residents of Puerto Rico wanted independence, I'd support that ... I'm not sure that's top of their list ...

But an interesting result of the DSA's position on Puerto Rico is that they will not allow a Puerto Rican branch of the DSA to exist.  Instead they will work with the democratic Left of Puerto Rico as allies.  This is a high level of consistency of thought for a political organization.

The same statement seems to support turning over all the ancestral lands of any indigenous peoples within the current borders of the US, to full sovereignty for those peoples.  I'm not sure that's what all those peoples would want.  There are benefits that flow from belonging to a single, large, political and economic unit the size of the US.  So it's a trade-off.  Independence is always a trade-off.  The more sovereign political entities that exist, the more difficult it is to address global problems, the more difficult it is to exchange goods and services or travel, the more difficult it is for people to migrate across borders.  The more likely it is these different political entities will clash militarily.  Will the newly independent nation of Puerto Rico develop its own Air Force, its own Navy, its own nuclear weapons?  Its own currency?  Will it join a trade bloc?

Also, independence movements tend to be based around myths of nationalism, racism, or ethnicity, and generally assume that having a more local set of elite rulers will automatically work out better for the 99%.

I mean, if people want independence, I don't want to fight them over it, but think it through all the way.  I don't think it is my position to say I support their independence before they've come to that conclusion themselves.

And before fully embracing decolonization as a strategy, I invite the audience to investigate the mixed bag that has been decolonization in Sub-Saharan Africa.  It definitely hasn't always resulted in well-run democratic governance.  I kind of prefer the modern French approach in which all French territory has been fully integrated into the French state, with full funding of public services (roads, hospitals, schools, police) and full participation in French democracy -- France is France, wherever on the globe you may stand.  No other rich country treats all of its territories as full and equal participants in the state.

So if Puerto Rico or any other group wanted independence, I'm cool with that, but first I'd immediately grant statehood to every territory of the US so that every territory is treated equally under federal law with every state.  Then if you want to leave anyway, cool.  If Texas wanted to leave, cool.  If Maine wanted to leave, or Alaska, or Hawaii, or Guam, cool.  But first I'd make sure you have a full and equal seat at the table of the United States as a state.
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There are 1,000,000 police officers in the US, and on average they kill 3-4 people each day.

There are 250,000,000 adult residents in the US.  40% of them live in a house with a gun, that's about 100,000,000 adults who own guns.  These 100,000,000 adults (and sometimes their children) kill on average 115 people each day with their guns.

That's approximately one person killed per 300,000 police per day, and one person killed by non-cops with guns per 800,000 gun-wielding adults per day.

Looking at those numbers, police don't kill that many more people per day than the rest of us who have guns, even though they spend their daily lives having to respond to violent and potentially violent situations.

I've thought this for a while, but I hadn't done the math: probably the biggest reason police kill so many people in the US is because so many adults in the US carry guns and use them to kill other people (or themselves) on a constant basis.  About four or five people per hour are killed by non-cops with guns in the US -- any many more non-fatal shootings occur, along with many threats to shoot.  Police are constantly responding to this spectacularly high societal level of deadly violence, non-deadly violence, and threatened violence, and considering this hyperviolent context, I don't think police kill people that much more often than the rest of us do.

If you gave me a gun and had me spending my career responding to domestic violence calls, I might have shot somebody by now also.

Sure, there are unjustified police killings.  But given the hyperviolent context and the stress they're under, the overall level of police killings doesn't surprise me, compared to the overall level of non-cop killings.  We live in a spectacularly violent country, and our police have to deal with this reality every day.

I think to fix police violence we need to get rid of the much more dangerous problem of 100,000,000 Americans carrying guns.  I feel that generally on the Left we're making police the scapegoats for a hyperviolent populace.  Unable to convince our neighbors to give up their beloved guns, we're focused on the much much smaller problem of police violence, especially the fraction that is White on Black.

I read and hear what Black people have to say about racist police harassment, and I generally believe them.  But I also look at all the unsolved murders in DC, so many of them Black victims who live in predominantly Black neighborhoods, and I have to believe that to some extent, police are responding to the level of violence they're seeing where they work, and cracking down on the people who live in and near these hyperviolent neighborhoods, or who match the profiles of the perpetrators and victims in these neighborhoods.

These are things that today's liberals don't allow themselves to say, instead they focus on only one aspect of the problem -- police violence -- without placing it within the context of the spectacularly violent populace that these police officers are dealing with.  Similarly, conservatives who reflexively support the police (Blue Lives Matter) ignore the horrible societal cost of gun rights, as well as the horrible legacy and realities of racism.

Nobody tries to look at this from an ALL OF THE ABOVE perspective: 100,000,000 adults with guns, racism, violence by police, and the much larger amount of violence perpetrated by everybody else.  This is just one example of what I mean when I say that the Age of the Internet allows everybody to see only what they want to see, while making it impossible for us to solve any of our problems.  Nobody wants to look at the entire picture anymore, that's too much work, and requires admitting that your political enemies have a point.
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As T read the verdicts to me while I was cooking dinner last night, the first thing I thought was:

They can't convict him on all three charges, that makes no sense.  The defense will appeal, and it is likely the appellate court will throw out some of the charges.  The charges were meant as multiple choice, not all of the above.  Juries of non-experts, sigh.

But, ignoring that legal technicality, I was relieved the jury found the asshole guilty.  He'll likely spend years in jail, even after the appellate court reduces his sentence.  Though, I suppose we can expect some riots when that sentence reduction comes down.

-----

Meanwhile, cops continue to kill three people per day on average in the US, and non-cops with guns continue to kill more than a hundred people per day (usually including themselves) -- 13,000 dead from gun violence so far this year in the US!  The killings are so common we only focus upon those that have particularly sensational circumstances, while ignoring the vast majority of the daily violence, the crushing load of unsolved murder cases, and the millions of mourners left behind.  And we do nothing about it -- no bill addressing gun violence can pass the broken US Senate.
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It's OK you disagree with me, it's OK if you're skeptical of this assertion, let's look at the data together and each make up our own minds.
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A lot of political rhetoric presumes there's only one side to every issue, instead of addressing the reality that most issues are a balancing of competing interests.

[I'm sure I'm guilty of this also.]
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Anybody who knows some history views current politics with some perspective and can see the hypocrisy on both sides.

Democrats are currently complaining vehemently about Republicans trying to curtail voting rights in the states Republicans control, because Republicans have decided that fewer voters is better for continued Republican control.

Yet it was not long ago when many Southern states were de facto one-party states controlled by Democrats.  Republicans weren't even allowed on the ballot in many cases, and of course black people were plainly denied the vote.

Democrats used this lock on the South to control the White House, the House, and the Senate for most of the period between 1932 and 1980.

But Democrats shot themselves in the foot by championing voting rights in the 1960s.  Ironically, as elections became more free in the US, Republicans became more competitive in the South.  Now it is the Republicans who are trying to overturn voting rights, at a time when Democrats are nominally ascendent -- if we had a pure democracy, Democrats would presently have a clear edge.

For decades it was Democrats who counted black people solely for purposes of allocating Electoral Votes and Congressional Districts, while not allowing them to vote.  It's weird that Democrats can so easily get away with ignoring their own history while calling out Republicans for taking baby steps in the same direction today.

In 1919, it was Republicans in the House and Senate who voted to allow women to vote.  Most Democrats either opposed the Constitutional Amendment, or abstained.  Yet do women today remember the Republican Party as their heroes for expanding the franchise?  And, yes, it was Republicans who freed the slaves, the Republican Party was literally founded to oppose slavery.

It's weird how things can turn around.  A political party that cared about voting rights in the past, tries to get rid of them now.  A political party that opposed voting rights in the past, supports expanding them now.  And we're not supposed to think about how they've traded places.  Maybe the only principle in US politics is that parties generally support whatever voting rules will keep them in power.  Trump is more willing to say this quiet part out loud.
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American Left: Let me Breathe

American Right: Let me Breathe on You
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Right now, the states with the highest rate of COVID cases:

Michigan (D)
New Jersey (D)
New York (D)
Connecticut (D)
Rhode Island (D)

All Democratic Governors.  Without Trump to blame, Democrats have given up on trying to stop COVID.  And they certainly aren't blaming themselves.  Michigan is surging especially badly, but NOTHING is closed in MI, although there are capacity restrictions and mask requirements in certain respects.  For example, indoor dining, bowling, casinos, and movie theaters are limited to 50% capacity.  I mean, how different is 50% capacity from a normal day in a lot of these places?

We're still averaging nearly 1,000 deaths per day in the US.

-----

Two arguments for continuing to follow your state and local COVID restrictions even though you personally might be fully vaccinated:

(1) The vaccines aren't perfect, you could still catch and spread the virus.

(2) To avoid creating envy among the still-not vaccinated -- solidarity!

It's still an academic question for me, for another nine days at least.  I'll certainly continue to follow mask, capacity, and social distancing requirements, but I'm concerned state and local governments have lifted too many of these requirements too soon.  With cases on the rise again we should be adding to the restrictions, not lifting them.  And all along I've been making up my own mind as to which activities to engage in, I've generally restricted myself more than the law requires.

But Bug is not in charge of the rest of you.
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When I saw that President Biden had placed Vice President Harris in charge of the "crisis" at the southern border, I imagined her therapist encouraging her to "practice saying 'no'". The VP doesn't work for the President, the Vice Presidency is a separately nominated Constitutional position, separately chosen by the Electoral College, and the incumbent does not serve at the pleasure of the President. The VP can only be removed from office via impeachment and conviction by Congress.

So Harris could say "no" to Biden, "No, I'm not going to fix your fucking southern border 'crisis' for you, fix it yourself."

-----

There's little condemnation on the Left of Biden's response to the increasing numbers of people seeking asylum in the US or crossing the US border away from US checkpoints. Biden himself told wanna-be immigrants on national television, "I can say quite clearly: Don't come over…Don’t leave your town or city or community," while his DHS Secretary is publicly gearing up to make more border apprehensions than we have "in decades". If this were still the Trump administration, the Left would be hopping mad at how the President is treating these people -- "No Human is Illegal" right? That's what the Left said under Trump.  That's what the yard signs in my neighborhood say.

"No children in cages," we all said!

But under Biden the slogan is "stay home", and the media are not allowed to visit the detention facilities where immigrant children are detained.

People choosing to exercise their legal right to apply for asylum in the US is called: a "crisis" at the southern border.  Biden tries to stop them, just like Trump did, but partisanship in the US means the Left sits by quietly as Biden prepares to apprehend more migrants than any of his predecessors.

VP Harris, just say "No"!

-----

I think at one point I wrote in here that the US, despite its great wealth, cannot take in every person on the planet.  Not all 7 billion who aren't here already.  But that was before I adopted Green Communism.  Now I'd say, yes, that's exactly what we should do, we should share our wealth with everybody, open our borders to everybody.  But we don't have to wait for them to come here, we can share our wealth with everybody regardless of where they live.

I'm certain that even in a nation like ours where a majority claim to be Christians, that sharing our wealth with everybody would be unpopular.  The American claim to Christianity has always been a pile of crap, more concerned with regulating sexual & reproductive behaviors than sharing the wealth.  Catholic Bishops in the US have recently been arguing over whether the COVID vaccines are immoral because they were developed in part using technology derived from stem cells taken decades ago from aborted fetuses -- these are not a group of men (still all men) who put saving lives ahead of regulating them.

But this is what I advocate as a Green Communist: I advocate dissolving national borders and treating every human the same.  Personally, I've been increasing my charitable contributions to put more of my money where my beliefs are, but I hope when I retire from my current job in 2027 to practice a lifestyle even more in keeping with my ideals.  Maybe as a pro bono immigration attorney representing asylum seekers.  I dunno, we'll see where I end up when I don't have house & pets & job keeping me here.

If I were in charge of increasing the number of Democratic Senators, I wouldn't advocate for Open Borders and reducing the US standard of living by 80% to share our wealth broadly.  But sometimes I advocate for my beliefs instead of pushing a party line.  Perhaps I should do more of the former and less of the latter.
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I live in a diverse neighborhood, as diversity is typically imagined or described by upper-income Democrats in the US.  The median single-family house costs around $500,000.  We have Jewish neighbors, black neighbors, hispanic neighbors.  There's plenty of LGBT rainbow flags.  We voted nearly 3:1 for Biden over Trump.  And we display lots of yard signs that say stuff like this:

  • Black Lives Matter
  • Women's Rights are Human Rights
  • No Human Being is Illegal
  • Science is Real
  • Love is Love
  • Kindness is Everything
These signs symbolize each homeowner's allyship on racism, feminism, immigration status, the scientific method, LGBT issues (at least those issues involving "love"), and ... otherwise being "kind".

What's missing, however, is any reference to either working class people or people living in poverty.  Nothing about a $15/hour minimum wage, nothing about union membership, nothing about providing economic equity -- such as affordable housing, health care, education, food, transportation, or child care.

The working class people who visit our neighborhood to clean our houses (all hispanic women) or work on our yards (all hispanic men) might take comfort that we're not going to ask them for their immigration papers or citizenship documents as they toil for us.  But we're not obviously concerned about how much they're paid or what their living conditions are or where their kids go to school.  Our assertions that you are not illegal are enough, according to us.

This is how "diversity" works in upper-income Democratic precincts.  We publicly pledge our support to any upper-income people who can afford to live here, no matter their identities, so long as they're 'kind" like we are.  We promise not to throw the workers who visit our neighborhood into detention centers (good workers are hard enough to find already).  But we're not going to address the economic inequalities that allow us to bid up the house prices in our neighborhood to levels that our maids and lawn care dudes will never afford.

This de facto economic segregation remains the final frontier in Democratic politics.  Some, like the Bernie supporters, are ready to start dismantling the walls between rich and poor in the US by providing higher wages and more universal benefits.  Meanwhile, the more moderate Biden supporters and the Democratic Senate aren't ready yet to share the wealth with the poor and working classes.  Oh, they stuffed a lot of temporary goodies into the "COVID Relief" bill, but no lasting changes to the tax, wage, or benefit structures.  President Biden stands for: borrowing a bunch of money from rich people to send out one-time chunks of cash to everybody, to distract us from our various culture wars and overall suckitude.  But then, won't we have to pay that money back after the crisis is over?

There's probably not a lot more Democrats can do with Senator Manchin of West Virginia as their swing vote -- I'm skeptical that Biden's upcoming $3 trillion "infrastructure plan" is going anywhere, and the Senate filibuster will ensure nothing else the Democratic House passes will become law: whether immigration reform, higher wages, climate change remedies, or voting rights protections.  But from the yard signs in my neighborhood, most upper-income Democrats are satisfied to leave economic inequality alone.  "Kindness" is all we need to address the gap between rich and poor.  Kindness is Everything.
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Without the daily contrast against President Trump, big-state Democratic Governors are suddenly in big trouble -- Cuomo in New York is facing possible impeachment, Newsom in California is facing possible recall.  The contest for worst asshole in the US has switched its focus toward other deserving targets.  The outrage has to go after somebody!  Please don't make us wait until the next regular election to get rid of these assholes!
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The Biden Administration vetoed an effort by the World Trade Organization to temporarily waive certain health care patents during the COVID Pandemic.  Such a waiver would allow poor countries to manufacture their own vaccines, medicines, and equipment for treating COVID patients instead of having to purchase, license, or beg for these things from the EU, UK, and US.

Intellectual property rights are more important than saving poor people's lives during a pandemic, y'all!

Separately the Biden Administration announced that it will make sure all US residents have received a COVID vaccine before we ship any to poor countries.  The World Health Organization responded that it isn't fair for the US to give vaccines to healthy young adults in the US while seniors in poor countries are dying.

Turns out Biden wants to put America First just like Trump did, eh?  I've argued previously that nationalism is just as bad as racism, but that bit of wokeness hasn't caught on yet with Democrats.  Democrats are far more concerned with making sure there's "equity" within the US than across international borders.
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There's a good description of what the bill contains over at Wikipedia.

If I were dictator there are pieces of it I would remove for being poorly targeted, and I'd increase taxes to fully pay for it.  But not even Democrats bother to increase taxes anymore.  We're just gonna keep borrowing trillions until the bond market breaks.

Poorly targeted --> sending $1,400 checks to every adult or child regardless of need, temporarily expanding the child tax credit to $3,000 per child regardless of need.  These lump sums go to people/families whether they've remained fully employed or not.  Instead, we could focus this kind of cash on the people and children who live below the poverty line.  I've heard people say the combination of these two benefits will reduce child poverty by half this year.  If we'd focused the benefit specifically to reduce poverty, we could've eliminated child poverty this year.  But -- it's also just a one-time lump sum, not an ongoing program to eliminate poverty.  Child poverty will then double back next year.

Enjoy your one year of not being poor, half of you!

There's $350 billion for state & local governments, regardless of whether these governments actually need the help.  Although some states saw tax revenues decline during the recession, others did not, so this is like the checks to every adult -- poorly targeted.  Instead, how about revenue replacement aid -- a grant matching the amount by which state or local revenue declined from 2019 to 2020 (but adjusted downward for any tax cuts the state or local government enacted for 2020).



There are also some pieces that have nothing to do with COVID, they're just thrown in because Congress is spending a lot of money anyway.  It's easier to hide $100 billion of favors to special interests when you're already spending $2 trillion.  Such as $86 billion to bail out underfunded private sector pension funds -- instead of forcing the private sector to keep its own pension promises.

And $4 billion in debt forgiveness for "socially disadvantaged farmers and ranchers", which apparently means POC farmers and ranchers -- I would never condition federal relief on the basis of skin color like this, we should help economically needy people with universal safety nets.  If a farmer or rancher needs help under some definition, then help, don't give extra help to POC -- this is the sort of thing Team Trump will use to convince white farmers and ranchers that Democrats hate them.  I would not be surprised if white farmers sue for similar relief, and I'd be on their side.
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Multiculturalism was supposed to open doors so every subculture could flourish without fear of oppression, in a world of mutual respect.  Instead it is creating a new multilayered oppression field that goes back in time to turn stuff you did years or decades ago into fireable offenses today.  To survive in 21st Century Multiculturalism you need to be able to predict years or decades into the future whether anything you say or wear today will get you fired in the future, because it might offend identity groups then that don't even exist yet today.

And this is a liberal talking to you -- you know conservatives are even more irate about this than I am.  And on this issue, I'm starting to have a lot of sympathy for conservatives.

If you want to hold people to a new standard of conduct, you need to clearly communicate that standard of conduct ahead of time, and give people time to learn about it, and give them "first warnings" when they screw up, so they can learn from their mistakes.  Changing the rules and then applying them backward in time to punish people for stuff they did while they were in college, or before offense was widely taken under these new rules, is absolutely unfair.  This is fostering widespread resentment and is not the way to move us all forward into a world of mutual respect.  It helps people like Trump to get elected.

The growing intolerance on the Left is a major problem for achieving our goals.
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Although most people in the US are still not allowed to sign up for a COVID vaccine shot yet, we're already flooded with think pieces trying to explain why some folks don't want to get the vaccine.

A lot of these think pieces are trying to explain why one particular subculture is supposedly more resistant to uptake than the rest of us.  I've seen think pieces saying that LGBTs are more resistant, that Blacks are more resistant, that Hispanics are more resistant, that White Evangelicals are more resistant, that young people are more resistant, that old people are more resistant.  I'm not sure there's anybody left who isn't more resistant!

Bottom line is that perhaps a third of adults don't want the vaccine, for a large variety of reasons, no matter their racial, sexual, religious, etc., identities.  But nowadays we're so stuck on viewing people through their subculture identities that we can't see the forest for the trees.  A third of adults don't want the vaccine!

And I'm going to ask -- so what?

One proffered reason for caring is that to achieve "herd immunity" so we can all go back to normal, we need some high percentage of the population to be immune to the virus.  Nobody knows the exact high percentage, because no country has achieved herd immunity from COVID yet.  This assumes herd immunity is possible for COVID!  It might not be.  If immunity wears off quickly after a few months, if the virus keeps mutating to escape our immunity, if the virus continues to spread & mutate in poor countries unabated -- COVID could be like influenza, with no such thing as herd immunity.  Not every disease can be wiped out via vaccination.

There's also the idea that for purposes of equity and non-discrimination we should reach out to various subcultures to make sure they are protected by the vaccine; we're supposed to help them overcome their resistance to the shots so we can save their lives for them (against their will).  Not by forcing them to get the shots, but by changing their minds against their will.  Via Public Education Campaigns, Outreach, Role Models, etc.  OK ... but these campaigns don't actually change many minds.  People can sniff when the government is trying to convince them to do something they don't want to do.

Also, businesses want to offer safe spaces for customers to spend money, so they'll want to ensure their staff and customers have been vaccinated.  I'm sure there are plenty of stores and resorts that can't wait to advertise that their staffs are fully vaccinated.  So businesses will want to force people to get their shots, and they'll lobby governments to back them up on this.

But we don't require adults to get any sort of shots in the US!  Medical care for adults is voluntary, if you can afford it at all.  And these shots have only been around for months, or weeks, and were approved on an emergency basis.  There is no such thing as a fully-approved COVID vaccine in the US, and won't be, for years.  People are right to be skeptical of new technologies that haven't been used in humans before.

I've been studying these vaccines so I can make an informed decision of my own, but that doesn't mean everybody should have to get a shot.

And most people do not really want to wait until we reach "herd immunity" before we return to normal.  A lot of us want to return to normal as soon as we get our own shots.  A lot of us want to return to normal NOW, shots be damned.  There will be a solid supermajority of people wanting to return to normal as soon as all of the adults who want their shots have received their shots, which Biden said would happen by the end of May.

So, I counsel tolerance and patience with regard to the people who don't want their shots.  Let them make up their own minds.  Let them see whether the shots work on us guinea pigs.  Let them sign up at their own pace.  Let's not turn getting shots or not into another goddess damned culture war, we have enough of those in the US already.



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Senate voted 58-42 to kill the $15/hour federal minimum wage.  I didn't realize we were that deep underwater on this issue.  We're happy to spend several trillions of dollars on "COVID relief" but the $7.25/hour minimum wage can stay right where it is.

Adjusted for inflation, the current minimum wage is lower than it was in 1950.  From 1938 to 1968 we kept raising the minimum wage, to make sure everybody got to share in our nation's rising productivity.  But for decades we've only cared about making sure stock prices keep going up for Bezos/Musk/Gates et al.

If we divided the net wealth of the US equally each household would have over $800,000.  But instead let's fight over whether to cancel Dr. Seuss.
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A significant subset of gay men identify with refusing to ever use condoms.  I just saw a guy on Twitter who had the phrase "Raw Top" in his tagline, like this is the first thing he wants anybody to know about him.  He's not just a top, but a raw top, which in the gay vernacular means he never uses condoms.

Before AIDS came along, I don't remember guys identifying and advertising as raw or bareback.  Maybe they did, that was a long time ago, there wasn't an Internet yet, and I didn't know all the gays.  There were definitely gay guys who didn't like to use condoms, but I don't think they'd organized into a community like this.

I think it started during the AIDS years.  Public Health officials and the gays who wanted to save lives tried to organize campaigns promoting condoms.  Some of us called it the "Condom Code" -- this was how we were going to save our lives and the lives of those we loved, by using condoms when we fucked.

But this campaign led quickly to a rebellion by those who didn't want to wear condoms.  I think this is when lots of gay fellas started to identify with barebacking.  But back then, it was viewed not only as rebellious, but also as nihilistic.  You were courting death, on purpose.  You didn't give a damn about death so much, that you were willing to fuck without condoms.  If it killed you, maybe that was even part of what turned you on about it, that you were deliberately sharing HIV, swapping HIV.  There were guys who called themselves "Bug Chasers" because it turned them on to take HIV up their buttholes.  I'm not making this up!  And there were guys who got turned on by infecting others.

Nowadays, the availability of Prep in the rich countries has changed the equation.  You aren't risking death by foregoing condoms.  Instead you are celebrating the fact you can't die from sex anymore.  "Fuck Without Fear" was one of the slogans promoting Prep.

As any reader of my LJ knows, I'm not one of those guys, I do not identify with going raw.  I'll dispense with condoms if we're in a relationship and we have mutual communication and trust about our sexual behaviors.  But otherwise I require a condom, even if you're on Prep or HIV-blocking medicines, because there are other STDs out there, including potentially new STDs or mutated STDs that we haven't "discovered" yet.

Generally the fellas I hook up with don't identify as raw, at least not if they want to fuck me.  They're generally willing to use condoms if asked.  Which feels like the polite thing to do.  Maybe you prefer not to use condoms, but you would use one if asked.  Doesn't that sound so very polite?  Like if your dinner host asks you to use this spoon for the gravy, and that spoon for the stuffing.

But the raw guys refuse to use a condom if asked.  It's part of their identity.  They say stuff like "Raw is Law!" to each other.  As I said, it is part of their identity.  They put stuff like "Raw Top" in their tagline so you know better than to ask, don't waste your time, or their time, saying the word "condom".

I feel this wouldn't be a gay subculture if we'd never had AIDS.  Just as the barebackers were rebelling against AIDS while AIDS was still killing half of us, today's raw fellas are still rebelling against AIDS.  They're rebelling against the Condom Code that people like me built back during the 1980s and 1990s.  Yes, this deadly STD exists, but I'm taking a pill, so I can't catch it, therefore I'M NEVER USING A CONDOM TO FUCK!  It's defiant, it's an expression of power, an expression of community.

And, unfortunately, it's what will create the ecology for another disease like AIDS to take us by surprise someday.

But this raw identity sure feels a lot like the rebellion against using masks that we're seeing among Republicans today.  I feel it's driven by the same set of needs -- the need to feel powerful, to feel defiant, to feel rebellious.  In the face of death, you refuse to kneel.  You are stronger than death!

I mean, it's ridiculous, but this is the attraction, feeling stronger than death.  It's the same attraction that fuels Christianity.  And maybe we shouldn't be surprised that the same political party that harbors the most demonstrably Christian among us, also harbors those who would defy Science, defy climate change, defy ecological destruction, defy public health, defy masks, defy death.

It's transgressive.  To the extent that public health advice has become the standard, with required childhood vaccinations, sewage treatment plants, hand washing, pasteurization, and now wearing masks in crowded spaces -- these people are fighting back, reclaiming their own autonomy from public health, pretending to be stronger than death.

The group who holds a mask-free gathering indoors in late 2020 or early 2021 is the equivalent of the bareback gays gathering at the local bathhouse in the early 1990s.  They explicitly refuse to let the fear of death tell them what to do.
m_d_h: (Default)
We finally have a President of the US who is 100% on the side of LGBT people from Day One, with no apologies or reservations.  None of that crap about "I'm against gay marriage but in favor of civil unions" like we got from the past several Democratic candidates/Presidents (including Obama).

And Biden supports the T in LGBT as much as the other letters.

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