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More than 4 billion people live on less than $5 per day.  That's most of the human population.

For a moment I had the most right-wing of thoughts, "How can they be both poor and still alive?"

Then, "What even is poverty?"

Of course the definition of poverty is relative and arbitrary.  The official US formula for the poverty line hasn't been updated since the 1960s, which is a pet peeve of mine that I bring up occasionally in my LJ.  The Obama administration was experimenting with an updated measure, but Trump didn't care.  So, my official stance is that we don't even know how many people live in poverty in the US.

Nearly 10 million households in the US are behind on their rent payments, I'd count that as poverty.  43 million people receive food stamps in the US, I'd count that as poverty.

I've never been dependent on federal aid for my breakfast, have never missed a rent or mortgage payment.  Personally, I don't know what poverty is.  I was a little short on money during college at one point, so my roommate lent me some cash for food, but he assumed I'd pay him back eventually, because my family was upper-middle class.  I think my brother lent me some cash at one point also during my 20s, but I paid him back with interest.  It's been a long time since I needed that kind of help.  Nowadays I keep a cash cushion, one that was large enough to absorb our basement upgrade, and I've already rebuilt it, so I'm starting to spend more again.

Humans don't automatically take care of each other, this is clear.  If I were King of the World I would enact a worldwide universal basic income at 50% of per capita global GDP -- this would be about $5,000 per person.  Anybody whose family/household income was below $5,000/person would receive a monthly support payment to bring them up to that level.  No matter where they lived.  For some countries, this would boost their total spending power by 10x.

The policies I would advocate are so far from the median political attitude that I cannot even vote for them.  I bet nobody running for Governor in Maryland next year will advocate a state-wide UBI of $5,000/person.  Perhaps after I retire, when the Hatch Act no longer limits my political activity, I will run for office on my Impossible Dreams platform.  That should be the name of my new political party!  Impossible Dreams!
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Often I wake too quickly during sex dreams, but this one went on for a good while.  I got to explore every part of his body, we got to talk while doing it, and he had such an interesting body to explore.  He was an ex porn-star who I've seen in videos, but many years had passed since and he was no longer in that perfect shape, instead he had a lot of scars and body modifications, some of which required some future tech that doesn't exist yet, like he had a patch of small plants growing out of his left shoulder.  He had a rash on his chest, lots of stuff to explore.  I remember probing his butt hole with my fingers.  I got to feel myself dry humping him as we made out -- I was very interested in topping him, and in this dream I wasn't caged, my cock was fully erect and ready to go.  We had condoms in the bedside drawer, and lube of course.

To make things weird, as dreams do, I was also younger and somehow in the same house as my mother, so the door to my bedroom was closed and we had to be quiet, but that didn't stop us from having the overhead light on and talking with each other.  When I lived with my parents I did have secret gay sex in the house with "friends" while my family was sleeping.  Later, after I was out to my family, I openly had boyfriends sleep over.

-----

Soon, Bug, you'll be vaccinated and grumping about how flaky guys are again ;-)  But even chasing after flaky fellas filled my life in a way that committing to Quarantine will never do.

I wondered whether I'll have anything "to show" for this year+ in Quarantine.  Well, I felt successful at NaNoWriMo for the first time.  I'm exercising pretty well and pleased with the results: the basement gym will remain, the dance and yoga videos will remain.  I still got to see K regularly until October, so I wasn't as isolated as some people.  In certain ways T and I get along better than before.  I still have the condo as my escape hatch.  I wish I were advancing consistently along the music skills track.  I'm surprised I didn't spend more time playing board games solitaire.

To the extent I don't have more "to show" for Quarantine, I think it is because sharing a house 24*7 with T and three pets while doing a paid job and most of the chores wears me out.  I never did have that feeling so many Quarantined people felt of having extra time on my hands.  Instead everything blended together, and I'd just want time off from it all at the condo, where I can feel I'm on little mini vacations each weekend.

Much of Quarantine also overlapped with the stressful presidential election "season" and it's unprecedented aftermath, especially the riot at the Capitol, which caused me and a lot of my coworkers to pretty much check out for the following two weeks until Biden was safely installed.  We also had the BLM protests and associated lawlessness on certain nights in DC -- it seems liberals want to think of BLM as "peaceful" while conservatives want to think of BLM as "violent" when it was certainly both at the same time -- there were peaceful protests and also looting & shooting.

I remember as the lockdowns began, a big stressor was the almost daily ratcheting of new restrictions and not knowing where the Governor or Mayor would stop.  I think I was breaking the law for a while in traveling between house and condo.  Then we had to deal with a President who was plainly incompetent at managing the situation, making it more stressful for all of us.  And not knowing -- still not knowing -- when or how this will end.  Although we're now getting much closer to the finish line and 60 million have received at least one shot, but some worry the COVID variants will keep us in lockdown even after the vaccine.

It was never a vacation for me.  Work felt more stressful, at the house I never felt alone, the entire country was feeling stress.  T and B were still estranged.  Going to the grocery or liquor store felt like risking my life.  I was wary of touching mail or packages -- had to wash hands afterward.  Walking outside was fraught because not everybody else was wearing masks or wearing them correctly.  K moved away.  Christmas was completely broken as T and I had to physically distance and wear masks within our own house, and I'd hurt my back putting up the tree.  Oh, right, how deeply guilty I felt having to say "no" to attending family events like birthdays, graduations, and holidays, until finally the relatives stopped inviting me.  And the rift between my deputy and my boss that led my deputy to transfer to another division -- how awkward I felt in the middle of that mess.  And then getting downvoted by my boss, after spending much of the year feeling my job was impossible.

Yeah ... so I would get mad when I read about people having time on their hands.  Though the parents with kids at home had it much worse than I did.  My sister and her husband are both teachers, and with two small girls at home, they had a lot to juggle as schools closed, then partly reopened, then closed again, etc.

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Well, I'm a little lonely around the edges, but I'm still employed, still alive, and in good physical shape.  If only I could have sexy dreams like this one on demand! ;-)
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The horniness arrives in waves, 8 weeks in.  This morning a strong swell, crashing against the threat of covering a $$$ fine and admitting failure; instead I'm visualizing what it may feel like to hand control of my next orgasm to whichever fella is lying naked next to me, in a few months; damn, this doesn't calm the wave at all, but redirects from the question of whether I should unlock myself and stroke to completion,

goddess, I'm imagining with intense detail the men who could lie next to me, the various heights & weights, skin colors, hair patterns, cock styles, ages, feet, and lips -- I don't think I'll be fussy, but what if he says "no" and then strolls out the door, having satisfied himself upon my insatiable ass, taking with him the offered keys until "next time", as the door closes he says, "By the way, don't text me again for 72 hours, start your timer now, boy."  Door closed, I realize I'm no closer than I ever was.  Separation always returns.
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OCD Bug is forever entranced by questions like: how many countries are there?  Why are there even countries?  Because there is no definitive answer to these kinds of abstract questions.  What is a country?  There are 194 universally "recognized" countries -- countries that all agree they are all countries, under international diplomatic agreements.  But then there are other candidates for countryhood -- countries that not all the other countries recognize as countries.

Is this 194 number going to be a relatively stable thing over time?  500 years from now there will be around 200 countries, but probably different countries from those we see today, with different territorial lines.

Occasionally I've seen on Twitter animated graphics that show the changes in country names and borders over time, across a continental scale.  How we humans organize ourselves into overlapping and hierarchical groups is always fascinating to OCD Bug.  Oh, Australia is the only country that occupies an entire continent!  And I've written before about how Europe isn't really a continent -- that anybody treats it as a continent is racist, because geographically it simply isn't -- it is part of Eurasia.  White people need their own imaginary continent, though, to feel special.  You yellow people over there live in a separate continent (Asia), because we (European) white people say so!

When I was a little kid, one of my favorite books in the house was an atlas.  I loved poring over that, looking at the borders and railroad lines (this was the early 1970s, heh) and resource symbols.  It had some historical maps showing before and after various wars.  So fascinating to an OCD kid.  While the other kids were outside playing basketball or something, I was exploring maps.

Here I sit wishing we had a more functional and comprehensive world government, looking out for the survival of our individuals, our species, our planet and the species we share it with, the universe, etc.  But we're divided into roughly 200 countries, and many of them are not democracies, so ... creating a world government would be viewed as tyrannical excess, one "country" conquering all the others.  Nationalisms ... hey, we're all humans, the same species, why can't we forget about this country bullshit and just all work together?

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Oh, weird, I went to the Wikipedia article about Africa and it has a button to show the map either with or without national borders.  If I could so easily delete national borders!  Click a virtual button with my trackpad!  Poof!  All borders are gone!
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When I was growing up, National Geographic magazine was a wonderful thing to behold.  I requested repeated annual subscriptions to the magazine and its spinoff publications as birthday or Christmas gifts, and my grandparents were happy to oblige.  We stored stacks of the magazines like they were books, and I'd repeatedly revisit them for research or entertainment.

And then in 2015 something awful happened.  The board of the National Geographic Society effectively sold the magazine to Fox -- the same company that ran Fox News and the Wall Street Journal and other right-wing stuff.  I couldn't believe my eyes, it seemed like an impossible betrayal of everything the National Geographic Society stood for.  I've pretty much boycotted the brand ever since.  How did right-wingers manage to take over such a venerable scientific publication?

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Last night I was listening to an audiobook chapter about the existential danger of "supervolcanoes", which I'll probably write about in more depth later.  I was curious to see what some other sources think, I don't want to take one author's word for it, and my search engine brought me to a 2019 article published by National Geographic.  This article bills itself as an "Explainer" in the "Science" category, but it uses classic right-wing rhetorical deceptions to downplay the dangers of these VEI 8 volcanic explosions.  I won't even link to the article because it is crap, but it showed me I haven't been wrong to boycott National Geographic since Fox took over.

An example of what I mean by rhetorical deceptions, however.  The audiobook last night explained how perhaps billions of humans could perish when the next VEI 8 eruption hits -- and this size eruption may happen on earth every 50,000 years on average.  OK, probably not likely to happen during our lifetimes, but if the human race persists for another couple hundred thousand years, we are likely to experience at least one more VEI 8 eruption as a species.  Shouldn't we acquaint ourselves with the dangers and prepare for the eventuality?  Create a United Nations Bureau for Protection from Volcanic Eruptions?

The National Geographic author instead first argues that the frequency of such VEI 8 eruptions is only one per million years, based on how many such eruptions have been conclusively identified in the geological and fossil records thus far, not based on the statistical likelihood of actual occurrence given what we've identified so far.  She then poses the rhetorical question, "Would a super-eruption kill us all?"  Well, no, it wouldn't kill us all.  But the article pauses there, and then inexplicably switches to a brief explanation of what happened the last time a VEI 7 volcano erupted, as though it were comparable to a VEI 8!  The scale is logarithmic, not arithmetic, so these two simply do not compare.  Plus, the last VEI 7 was 200 years ago, when there were far fewer people alive than today (one billion instead of eight), and the global economy was not nearly so complex and interconnected as today.

Also, even within the VEI 8 category, there's a large variation in size, effect, and duration of eruptions.  The largest known VEI 8 eruption was 30x as large as the VEI 7 cited to by the author.

So, the author argued these kinds of eruptions happen 20x less often than they actually do, and are up to 30x less destructive than they actually are.  And then concluded, "Why worry?"  Without any analysis of how our present economy could be more susceptible to a VEI 8 than the hunter-gatherer societies of 50,000 years ago.

It's the same sort of crap I see on a right-wing websites about the dangers of COVID -- using the wrong statistics for the risks and then setting up straw men that are easy to tear down.  Claiming COVID is 20x less deadly than it really is by citing to incorrect statistics, and then pointing out that most of us will be fine! in order to justify doing nothing about a virus that could kill a couple million Americans if we did nothing.

-----

But now I see Fox sold National Geographic to Disney, so it's become just another media commodity that is bought and sold by the multinational megacorporations.

Sigh.

The author of the audiobook says that humans are bad at estimating the risks from dangers they haven't experienced for themselves, especially when they haven't happened to anybody at all during their own lifetimes.

I can see exactly how that works in the context of gay men, STDs, and condoms.  During my own lifetime, roughly half of the gay men then alive were killed by HIV.  Nowadays, young gay men have the perception that HIV has been resolved by taking antivirals.  And, yes, as far as HIV is concerned, this is presently true.  But there's always the potential for a new and similarly deadly STD to arise.  The risk hasn't disappeared.  Microorganisms evolve continuously.

It's the same way with a lot of risks, such as the dangers of large asteroid impacts or supervolcanic eruptions.  Hasn't happened during our lifetimes, but eventually these things will happen again, and they will be devastating.

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You can assume, sure, [Danger X] will happen again, but not during my lifetime, and that could be a reasonable conclusion.  But let's not use incorrect statistics and improper comparisons to make these conclusions.

And maybe it won't happen to you, personally, during your lifetime, but is that a reason for completely ignoring the risk?  Or should we plan as a species for the inevitable return of such devastating events?

Maybe it's an impossible dream to think that we could organize and plan together as a species.  In this country we can barely run a national election anymore.
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It was not newsworthy at all in the US, I learned about it from a British newspaper --

One week ago, the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons came into force. This treaty has been ratified by 52 countries, which means in these countries it now has the force of law. These countries have agreed to ban nuclear weapons within their territories, not to develop nuclear weapons, and not to help anybody else develop or deploy nuclear weapons.

Of course, the US is not a party to this treaty -- and I hadn't even heard of it before yesterday. At last count, the US held more than 6,000 nuclear warheads, most of which are ready to launch at the order of the President in his role as Commander in Chief. This is a big reduction from the US peak in the 1960s, when we held more than 30,000 nukes. During the intervening decades we've negotiated reductions in our nuclear arsenal with the Soviet Union/Russia.

Two parties to the treaty that used to hold nukes have given them up: South Africa and Kazakhstan. So it is possible to give up nukes and then continue existing as an independent country. Unfortunately the world does not have a perfect record on this point -- Ukraine also gave up its nukes, but now finds itself being slowly chewed up by nuclear-armed Russia.

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I've had mixed feelings about the existence and proliferation of nuclear weapons. It seems to me the existence of nuclear weapons has so far avoided the eruption of another "world war", via a "balance of terror" between the major world powers. But there have been incidents over the decades that arguably could have resulted in nuclear war between nuclear-armed countries. Have we been lucky, or do nuclear weapons provide a real deterrent to violence? And as nuclear weapons proliferate to additional countries, will the chance of nuclear war increase until it becomes inevitable?

The nuclear standoff has not ended war entirely of course, we continue to have armed conflicts within & between many countries; often these conflicts are "proxy wars" funded by the nuclear powers as a way to push against each others' spheres of influence without provoking a direct war between them. Of course, you don't have to be a nuclear power to fund proxy wars -- Saudi Arabia and Iran are skirmishing by proxy in a dozen countries.

Syria has brought US and Russian armed forces into what I'd call Proxy Plus -- both countries have based troops in Syria, requiring a set of negotiated rules between them to avoid direct confrontation. The Russians are there to assist the Syrian government, the Americans are there to assist the independent Kurds and to fight ISIS.

WASHINGTON — A small number of U.S. troops were injured this week during a skirmish with Russian forces in northeastern Syria, American officials said on Wednesday, underscoring the risk of simmering tensions between the two rival powers in a hotly contested part of the country.  (August 26, 2020 -- NYT).

If the US and Russia didn't both have nukes, would we be fighting each other directly in Syria and other locations?

But I do think it is hypocritical and immoral for the US to deny other countries the ability to build their own nukes.  If we think Iran shouldn't have nukes, for example, then we should first get rid of our own.

It's a tough issue.  Like global warming, nuclear proliferation is not something that one country can solve all by itself.  I'd like to see a steady ratcheting down of nuclear weapons by the countries that have them, until one day no nuclear warheads exist.  But we cannot delete the knowledge of how to build them.  Could this knowledge serve as a deterrent without having to stockpile actual nuclear weapons?  Don't get into a war with Russia because then they could build nukes and blow us up?

I wonder to what extent this "knowledge-based deterrence" already exists in the world.  I think both Iran and Saudi Arabia have the capability to build nukes, is this what keeps them fighting at the proxy level instead of directly?  Japan and South Korea definitely have the capacity to build nukes, so China & Russia pretty much leave them alone.

Yeah, I'd try to create an international regime in which there's a steadily declining cap on how many nukes a particular country may have, along with trade incentives for remaining free of nukes -- perhaps a 25% international tariff on the goods of any country that does hold nukes, with the proceeds divided among the nuke-free countries as a peace dividend.  Heh, dream on, Bug.

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The existence of nukes hasn't helped the countries that do not have them.  These countries have continued to fall prey to major-power imperialism, civil war, and violent neighbors.  But that doesn't mean I would hand over nukes to every country on the planet.  How do we build a world without imperialism, without civil war, without violent aggression?

I'd create a World Parliament, elected by global proportional representation, as a replacement or reform of the United Nations.  I'm not sure exactly what powers to give this World Parliament.  But the original idea of the post-WW1 League of Nations was to create a global force for peace that would intervene to prevent wars from spiraling out of control.  Ironically, nuclear weapons have done a better job at keeping international peace than either the League of Nations of the United Nations ever did.

Maybe we need a nuclear Balance of Terror to keep us from having massive armies of tens of millions of soldiers battling back and forth across the major land masses, throwing millions of civilians into concentration camps as they advance.  I don't know.  I wish we could instead find a way to share resources peacefully across what we now consider national borders -- these imaginary and arbitrary lines that we use to divide humans into nationalisms.  A World Parliament of the Human Race, that erases national borders, taxes global capital, regulates global natural resources, limits global pollution, and provides a basic income to everybody while administering education, health care, infrastructure, criminal justice.

Dream on, Bug, somebody's got to ;-)
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I woke from a nightmare in which my computer suddenly uploaded a video of me masturbating to a work Zoom meeting.  I wasn't masturbating in my dream, it was some random bug that uploaded the video.  In my dream I reacted by immediately rebooting my computer, and then worrying that I'd been too late.  I then quickly called a coworker to apologize (to learn what he'd seen?) and he was saying, "We don't have to talk about this ... Let's just not talk about this ..."  Which meant he saw it.

In waking reality, this could never happen, because I only use my work computer for work Zoom meetings, of course I only use my personal computer for porn, and there's no way my work computer could access a video of me masturbating.
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I had a lot of dreams involving touch overnight -- my favorite was a dream where I went to see a therapist and K was there with me snuggling with me from behind while I spoke with her about my feelings.  She told me that what I'm feeling is normal, especially during these times.  K just listened.

Also, I showed up to the therapy session without a mask -- she handed me one and I mumbled something about forgetting to bring one, except in my dream I hadn't forgotten, I was going without a mask on purpose, and I said I was suffering from pandemic fatigue.

When I woke, I realized the snuggling was real -- Astrid had been snuggling against my back :-)

I remember agreeing a few months ago that I'd see a therapist but then it sorta piled on top of the general To Do List that has always been too long during Quarantine.  And on Sunday when I got home, T piled more things on the To Do List.  Although I'm catching up with stuff at work, there's ever more to do at home.  And then I add personal goals to the list, like NaNoWriMo, which I feel I completed successfully although I haven't done the word count yet.  Or getting back into music.  Or exercising more.  Or working out an annual budget with T -- which we did, though it was emotionally costly for both of us.

My main complaint to my dream therapist was that I feel unmotivated.  Which is weird because I do have a lot going on.  And in the past I've had friends tell me that I'm one of the most motivated people they know.  But part of me feels like I could be / should be / doing more.

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My chats with Mark from Reddit yesterday went in a pleasant direction, continuing to get to know him better, establishing some mutual trust.  Whereas with Matt I'd responded to a personal ad, I don't know where Mark came from.  He messaged me directly, so I don't know how he found me.  Reminds me of Missa that way, although I "met" Missa on Grindr.  Missa had contacted me directly, I'd never seen his profile before, he was a "lurker".

I'm often more comfortable, and more successful, with younger guys when they contact or approach me first.  I know a lot of younger gay guys feel harassed by older gay guys and do their best to ignore them.  It's often an unwelcome shock to younger gay guys to learn when they come out that most gay men are older than they are, so most of the people contacting them will be older than they are.  Most of them want to date or hookup with someone their own age, like they would've done in high school, like society teaches them is appropriate.  But some younger guys seek out older guys on purpose, either because their first sexual relationships were with older guys, or because they crave the maturity that most of their peers lack.  And some of them are frankly looking for sugar daddies or "finsubs".

There's a younger guy MG from Twitter who I've given small gifts to, and he's friendly with me -- friendlier than Jeremy was when I agreed to be his finsub.  Jeremy was good at everything about the findom role except for providing a human connection, it was obvious it was just a job to him (though a job well done), and I never heard from him again after I told him I wanted to focus more on having in-person connections -- not even a thank you or good bye.

Heh, I still want to focus more on having in-person connections, but I can't have them right now.  The risk for my current harem of online boys is that After the Vaccine I'll lose interest in them if they don't actually want to visit.  I'd be willing to travel to Canada or Massachusetts or elsewhere to meet these fellas, or to have them stay with me at the condo for a long weekend visit to DC.  As I was willing to visit and host my dozens of gay LJ friends back when LJ was still a busy place, before Facebook sucked all of them away into our horrible social media future.

The online gay guys who I dumped back in 2005 were the ones who didn't want to meet in person.  I had no time for that in my life anymore.

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Anyway, I'm glad Astrid's nighttime snuggles provided the stimulus for my snuggle dreams, I really needed some snuggles, and I really needed to talk with a therapist while snuggling with K.
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Dark mode is hitting hard now -- I'm no longer lit awake by the sun, so I'm sleeping past 7am.  But I've also been staying up later than usual, because T isn't here.

I'm firming up my plan to take Thursday and Friday off.  I'll make the request today.

The sense of being home alone has definitely sunk in now.  It's been a long time since T went away for a week, and the last time he did I had other people over to the house.  I'd typically have K over for a night or two when T traveled, so we could enjoy the hot tub together.  Sometimes I had other friends over, such as B or Steve.  Sometimes I had a fuckbuddy visit, such as David or Missa.  So my week off from T would be a mixture of time to self and time with other people.

Although I'm socializing a bit virtually, phone calls and online games, I'm not having anybody over, because of Quarantine.  So I've had enough time to self to feel a bit lonely this morning.  At least I have the pets to keep me company :-)

Last night I had a dream that I was traveling with a cat, staying in a hotel room, and then all sorts of wacky pre-Quarantine things started happening -- my hotel room was somehow part of a suite in which two different meetings were being held -- in one of the rooms a fitness instructor was gathering her clients for an exercise routine, in another of the rooms people were showing up for some sort of political action, and then the hotel manager and front desk clerk dropped by to tell me how wonderful my room is -- the quality of the floor covering -- WTF all these people in my hotel room.  And I'd forgotten to get the kitty litter tub out of the car, so my little cat was upset and started biting me.  Strange dream.

After I got into bed, but before I fell asleep, two of my favorite porn stars began a free, live show.  They're so hot, and it was 22 days since I had an orgasm, I starting thinking I was about to have a nipple orgasm while watching them, but at the last second I decided to continue following the Cum Deck rule ... I think I'd never felt so precisely close to the edge of an orgasm without going over.

It took a while this time, because of some emotional interference, but I'm back to the perpetually super horny state that a chastity sub should have.  I'll try to stick with the discipline of the Cum Deck.  If I'm taking Thursday and Friday off, I won't want to draw another card until Friday, I'll want to remain super horny all day Thursday.

I thought I'd cook meals for myself while T was away, so we didn't pause the meal kit service, but I haven't cooked anything yet.  I think I will finally cook tonight.
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[Follow the "self interrogation" tag to find my previous answers to questions #1-4.]

Here's #5, finally:

If I could do this, why am I not doing it right now? If not now, when? What's my excuse for waiting?

By "this", question #5 refers to question #4, regarding limiting my own personal consumption to my own personal sustainable share of global production.

In answering question #4, I consulted an actuarial table to find my expected lifespan, and decided I would reduce my own personal consumption over the course of my natural life by 3-4% per year until I reached Green Communism by the end of my life.

So what's my excuse for dragging this out over the course of 29.0 years?

It's really about the other commitments I've made in my life.  I can cut my own spending by 3% next year, and another 3% the next, without cutting into the commitments I've made to my career, to the two most important people in my life, and to the three pets I've adopted.  Over the next seven years, as I approach retirement, these commitments will begin to fall away.  Instead of sharing two homes (house with T, condo with K), I expect to reduce to one home at some point between age 55 and 60.  These three pets are all entering the second decade of their lives, and will eventually pass away.  And then I will retire from my career, at which point my consumption will drop anyway to fit into my post-retirement income.

It clearly would not be possible for me to continue any of these commitments if I were to immediately cut my consumption by over 90%.  I could not afford to live in the DC area, so I'd have to quit my job, sell the house, stop sharing the condo.  T would probably keep the pets if I dove below the poverty line.  I'd have to move to a cheaper part of the world and find a new job.

I can aim to move toward Green Communism, but I'd have to break my life to do it immediately.  And, Green Communism isn't something I can accomplish by myself anyway.  I'd be setting an example for the rest of you, at best, but global warming and mass extinctions would continue.  Living sustainably is something we all have to do together.  And it would take time for all of us to do this, even if we wanted to.  It would probably take as long as a human lifetime to reorganize all of our systems of government, production, and distribution to live within a rational ecological footprint.  My own back-of-the-envelope plan for getting rid of fossil fuels would take 30 years to fully implement.

So, I'm not expecting any more of myself than I'd expect of humanity.  Over the next 10 years I'll stop getting any of my energy from coal, and I'll cut my overall consumption of stuff by >30%.  Over the following 10 years I'll stop getting any of my energy from oil, and I'll continue to cut my overall consumption by >60%.  Over the final 10 years I'll stop getting any of my energy from natural gas, and I'll finish cutting my overall consumption by >90%.  There will be time to adjust these goals if it turns out my share of sustainable global consumption is more or less than it would be today.

I'm embarking upon my own personal journey toward living Green Communism.  It would be great if the rest of the human race joined me, but I'm not waiting for y'all.  Yet, I'm also treating myself and those I care about with compassion, instead of unilaterally breaking my life and disappearing into a different world all at once.

After we all decide to begin this journey together, if we ever do, it will take the rest of our lives to get there.  We can't just click on "OK" to load the next page.  This loading screen is gonna take a billion seconds to complete.
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This morning as I drove to the dermatologist I listened to a Soto Zen podcast, a couple of a particular center's dharma talks.  The instructor was discussing whether Zen is a religion, what's the point of Zen, and later referenced a couple of the Buddhist deities and how they interact with our "Buddha nature" (whatever that is).

I wasn't taking notes, so I might have found the wrong deities when I got home and was looking on the Internet for them, but this probably doesn't matter, as each school of Buddhism in each country seems to have its own versions of these deities.  Reminds me a bit of the Catholic Saints, of which there are more than 10,000 (there's probably a patron Saint for everything).

But the instructor was referencing both a Deity of Wisdom, and a Deity of Compassion -- it doesn't matter which particular versions of these -- and how practicing Zen has the effect of inviting both Wisdom and Compassion into your life.

Yet, hold on a minute, because these commonplace English words, "wisdom" and "compassion" don't mean what we think they mean in the context of Buddhist traditions.  There's definitely some translation problems in bringing the centuries-old Buddhist traditions to 21st Century US English.  This adds to some of the mystique of Zen koans & poetry, but also confuses people.  I think it creates this image of Zen as opaque and paradoxical, when it's not.

Like the koan about one hand clapping.  In the US, people cite this koan when they want to refer to a mystery that cannot be solved.  But what it's really about is --> when your two hands come together in a clap, they effectively become one hand.  I think Zen koans aren't as confusing in the context of their original languages and cultures, several centuries ago on the other side of the planet.

-----

In Buddhist English, wisdom is represented by a Deity who wields a sword and uses this sword to cut through our illusions.  Wisdom spends all his time calling out your bullshit.  Heh, reminds me of how I keep calling stuff bullshit in my journal.

In Buddhist English, compassion is represented by a Deity who has 1000 eyes.  She uses these eyes to see things as they truly are.  Compassion spends all her time telling you what is real.

So wisdom is about calling out your bullshit, and compassion is about telling you what's real.  These Deities of Wisdom and Compassion work together to relieve your suffering by tearing down your illusions and helping you to see reality.

-----

I note that wisdom as used here is not the giving of sage advice, and compassion as used here is not giving you a hug and a warm cookie.  These Deities aren't Mom and Pop, they aren't a loving God.  They're tough.

At one point the instructor talked about how the Deity of Wisdom can cause a spiritual crisis -- aha, I know what a spiritual crisis is -- by leaving you bereft of your comforting illusions.  But then the Deity of Compassion immediately swoops in and shows you reality, helping you to replace your broken illusions with something real.

In Zen, reality is its own reward.  No sage advice, no hugs or cookies.  Just reality.  The reality that was there all along.  You already had it.  You just couldn't see it.

-----

At one point, the instructor pretended to complain about how there are way more cars in the parking lots of the local Christian, Jewish, and Muslim centers than at the Zen center.

She said this is because Zen followers generally are not trying to convert people, and also because Zen can be a tough road.  Giving up your illusions?  The other kinds of religions are quite happy to provide you with comforting illusions.  But not Zen.  First Zen strips you of all your sources of comfort, then it replaces them with new ways of seeing the world.  The assumption is that these complementary Deities will relieve your suffering, because most of your suffering comes from your delusions.

-----

So when a Zen teacher calls out your bullshit, she's actually trying to relieve your suffering, because she sees how much of your suffering comes from clinging to your bullshit.  But in Western culture people tend to react angrily and defensively if you call out their bullshit.  We are taught to respect each other's beliefs.  This instructor said that Zen teachers can seem abusive and inexplicable to people from other spiritual traditions, because they show their respect for us in unusual ways.

-----

I've long said that I don't respect people's beliefs, instead I respect people.  I think in the US we get this backward, we respect beliefs but not people.  We have a First Amendment that guarantees freedom of religion, but there is no Constitutional provision guaranteeing you a place to sleep, a meal to eat, or clothing to wear.  No Constitutional guaranty of education, health care, or employment.  We'll respect your beliefs while you starve, freeze, or die from lack of medicine.

I don't respect people's beliefs, but I do respect people's needs -- if you focus on reality, you see 8 billion people and their needs.  Look beyond the people, you see 20 quintillion animals and their needs.  Look beyond the animal kingdom, over 10% of the surface of our planet is covered by plants and their needs.

A massive, practically uncountable number of living beings and their needs.

Wisdom cuts away our illusions, compassion shows us a practically uncountable number of living beings and their needs.  What does a person do next after pursuing Wisdom and Compassion?  Zen would argue that the only realistic plan of action is to do whatever you can to help as many living beings as possible to meet their needs.

Beliefs are bullshit.  Get to work.
m_d_h: (Default)
The human race does not seem to have ever embraced Green Communism on a global scale in the past, why do I think this can possibly happen now?

It's a gamble, probably a losing gamble, however many chips I put on this French Roulette wheel, I'm probably going to lose them.  But I'm putting all my chips on the green number 0!  (Odds are 1/36.)

As I read more about the ecological history of the human race, my pessimism deepens.  Many on the Left tell themselves myths about prehistoric or indigenous peoples, believing these peoples lived in harmony with nature.  The archeological record shows they did not.  The fossil record shows they did not.  The climatological record shows they did not -- the anthropogenic global warming trend actually started thousands of years ago.  As we move into the period of written history, the historic record shows they did not.  As we look at ourselves today, the global human race -- we are not living in harmony with nature.  Why should we start now, homo sapiens has never lived in harmony with nature!

Betting on humans to change their ways is usually a losing bet.  I've always been skeptical that humans can surmount the climate crisis.  It would require too much sacrifice.  It would require more sacrifice than the South giving up their slaves in the 1860s.  I'm not the first to make this comparison.  Others have said that trying to enforce abandonment of fossil fuels would require a World War -- and not simply between nations, but within each nation, across all nations, a Global Civil War between the Green Militias and the White Mercenaries.

There's $100 trillion in fossil fuel wealth at stake.  You think those people are going to leave their $100 trillion in the ground without a fight?  People have fought wars over far less.

This is a war I will not join.  I'm not going to kill people over this.  If persuasion, consent, and democratic governance are not the solution, then I'm not going to solve this.

-----

We've got the potential for technologies changing human behaviors.  If renewable energy sources become so cheap that fossil fuels become uneconomic, and if inexpensive birth control becomes widely available everywhere, then enough countries may voluntarily give up fossil fuels and reduce births below replacement.  So, maybe a Green science fiction fantasy will come true.  But I think the more likely outcome is what we're already seeing as a result of new technologies -- we just continue to use more of everything -- technology makes fossil fuels less expensive also! and finds more of them!  It doesn't even matter whether we stabilize human population during this 21st Century, because those 10 billion humans will continue increasing their consumption of everything at exponential rates via new technologies.

The problem with new technologies is that we still have to ban fossil fuels.  Just like we still had to ban slavery to get rid of it.  This is a political problem.  We need a global ban on fossil fuels.  I think the chance of this happening is, yeah, French Roulette: 1/36.  I'm placing our entire planet on the green number 0.  Let's spin that wheel ...
m_d_h: (Default)
A few weeks ago I was trying to do the math -- what if we (somehow, agreeably) downsized global GDP to fit within an ecologically sustainable footprint, and then divided that sustainable GDP equally among all the humans on the planet.  How much stuff would we each be allowed to have?

About $6,600 per year, per person.  Before taxes! -- to have any public goods whatsoever, such as schools, roads, transit, fire fighters, police, health insurance, you'd still have to pay taxes out of your $6,600 per year, per person.

For comparison, in the US our GDP is about $65,000 per year, per person.  In the US, our average ecological footprint is 10x the ecologically sustainable "shrink & share" amount.

-----

Yeah, I wrote this stuff before, back in the ol' LJ.

But I'm trying to confirm the way they calculate this ecologically sustainable footprint.  For 2019, they calculated that the entire human race consumed 1.7x the sustainable global booty.  If I'd had to guess, I would've guessed we're overshooting by way more than that.  For example, according to BP's annual report, 84% of our global energy production comes from fossil fuels, only 16% comes from nuclear and renewables.  And some would argue that even nuclear isn't sustainable, either because of the long-lasting radioactive wastes it produces, or because we only have about 100 years of proven reserves for nuclear fission power -- nuclear is not "renewable" per se.  If you take nuclear off the table, only 12% of our global energy production came from renewables in 2019.  That sounds like we're using about 8x the sustainable global booty right now, not 1.7x.

Run that number through the equation ... your personal ecologically sustainable share divides down to $1,400 per year.  Before taxes.  This would take us down to the living standard of Benin.

That's less than one of my biweekly paychecks.  No, that's less than 1% of my annual pay.  I'm tearing up 100x my sustainable share.

So ...

-----

Whether my share is $1,400/year, or $6,600/year, I'm definitely living way way way beyond it.  And so are most people in the US, and most people in the EU, and most people in Japan, Australia, etc.

I'm willing to forgive most of you and them, because ... you probably haven't thought through this problem, probably haven't seen the math.

But now I've seen the math.  So what am I supposed to do?

I cannot make up for the nearly 53 years during which I've lived beyond our global footprint.  But what do I do with the time I have left?  I'm not sure yet.

And this is not really a problem of individual consumption.  Sure, I could reduce my living standard by 99%, somehow.  But that won't stop the rest of you from overshooting our planet's ecological capacity.  I would smugly watch the rest of you burn us all.

Yeah, I can stop lighting 100 matches per year on top of this pile of dynamite.  But don't I have to figure out how to stop the rest of you from doing the same?

-----

There's individual responsibility, a rare enough commodity in the US, taking responsibility for how your actions affect yourself.  Then there's social responsibility, taking responsibility for how your actions affect others.  But keep on climbing the ethical responsibility tree and you eventually reach universal responsibility, taking responsibility for how your actions affect everything else.  Taking responsibility for every living thing on the planet.

Right now we're in the midst of accelerating global warming that will continue for 1,000 years.  And, humans are now causing the sixth mass extinction.  What's my responsibility in the midst of these ecological catastrophes?

As of right now, I'm not even taking individual responsibility.  I'm at the bottom of the ethical responsibility tree.  I'm not even policing my own behavior sufficiently to stay within my own share of the footprint.

This is weighing on me.

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